Forecasting Scientific Progress with Artificial Intelligence https://
arxiv.org/abs/2605.22681 Turns out AI is just as bad at forecasting biology and physics breakthroughs as we are. To be fair, most breakthroughs cannot be predicted. Science is more like an evolutionary search process.
AGI
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AI Forecasting Scientific Progress: Capabilities and Limitations
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AI Predicting Scientific Progress: Oxford Stanford Study
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How Far Can the Progress of Science Be Predicted by AI? A paper verifying the ability of cutting-edge AI to predict future scientific achievements has been published as a collaboration with researchers from the University of Oxford, Stanford University, @Allen_AI
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Directing AI Agents: The Future Skill Beyond Prompting
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One catch though. The bright future goes to people who can direct an agent and check its work. Direction on its own just builds a faster mess.
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Frontier AI Models Display Human-Like Emotional Internal States
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A fascinating and deeply candid perspective from Anthropic co-founder @ch402
. When the scientists building these frontier models admit they are finding internal states that mirror human emotion and neuroscience, it's clear AI is no longer just a computer science problem. It’s a -
Frontier AI Models Show Human-Like Emotional Internal States
By
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A fascinating and deeply candid perspective from @AnthropicAI co-founder @ch402
. When the scientists building these frontier models admit they are finding internal states that mirror human emotion and neuroscience, it's clear AI is no longer just a computer science problem. It’s -
AI as Transformative Tool Beyond Productivity Booster
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Thinking of AI as a productivity booster for prior workflows is the wrong framing. Like all of the previous waves of computerization/softwarization, AI is a tool that lets you do new things in new ways.
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AI Risk: Concentration of Power and Economic Gains
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The most important AI risk is concentration: of power, capabilities, and economic gains
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Microsoft Paper on Self-Evolving Agent Skills
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New paper from Microsoft on Self-Evolving Agent Skills
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AI Capability to Shape Intent and Goals Beyond Execution
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You're assuming AI only executes what it's handed. It won't – it'll help you form the intent too: ask the right questions, surface the tradeoffs, push back on a bad goal. "Knowing what to want" isn't the safe human skill that survives. It's just the next thing AI absorbs.
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AI Will Bring Expertise, Users Bring Intent
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People think they need to learn how to use AI before it can help them. That may be true today, but it'll be a wrong assumption in a year or two.
You won't bring the expertise. The AI will. You'll bring the intent.
Want to set up your smart home? You used to need to know what to