Agents as economic actors is the inevitable next step. The question is who owns the agent's output and reputation.
AGI
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AGI Expected in 6-12 Months, Worker Replacement in 1-2 Years
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AGI in 6-12 months, workers being replaced in the 1-2 Years
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Silicon Valley Warning: AI Industry May Be Scaling in Wrong Direction
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There is an old Silicon Valley warning that the AI industry should probably take more seriously: “𝗜𝗳 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗼 𝗔𝗚𝗜, 𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝗼𝗳𝗳 𝗮𝘀 𝘀𝗼𝗼𝗻 𝗮𝘀 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗰𝗮𝗻. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗯𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗲𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗹𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗲 𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗴𝘂𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗱𝗲𝗹𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲, 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝘂𝗿𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗱𝗿𝗶𝗳𝘁 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗔𝗚𝗜, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗲𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲.” And that may be the bigger point. Not just whether LLM scaling reaches AGI. But whether the world’s smartest companies are becoming incredibly efficient at going faster in the wrong direction. #technology #ai #workplace Image credit: Ralph
→ View original post on X — @pascal_bornet, 2026-03-30 09:00 UTC
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General Intelligence Approaching Optimality at Accelerating Speed
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We have not reached the peak. But we are not 10,000x off. We are more like 50% off. It's not a weird coincidence that we're already close, it's mechanical: once you have general intelligence you will inevitably start moving closer to optimality over time, at an accelerating speed
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Strong AI Will Make Radiologists Obsolete
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strong AI will make radiologists obsolete vibes https://t.co/lhlTUPsRCh
— Bojan Tunguz (@tunguz) 29 mars 2026strong AI will make radiologists obsolete vibes
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AI agents as solution for complex challenges
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You pretty much described my own experience and exasperation to the T. I’ve been contemplating the alternative and possible solution for years. Anything I could think of would take too much time/effort/buy in to be feasible. Maybe the AI agents can become powerful enough soon
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AI-driven mass unemployment and assisted suicide extinction scenario
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Here is a very plausible AI causing mass human extinction scenario: 1. AI causes mass unemployment and social disruption. 2. Vast majority of people *at best* become seriously depressed. 3. AI “doctors” offer them assisted sui**de as a “compassionate” solution. 4. People,
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Human Intelligence with Tools Approaches Optimal Problem-Solving
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I do believe that a large collective of the smartest humans, aided by external tools, sits very close to the optimality bound — i.e. humans should be able to solve any solvable problem (where the required information is available) if they pay enough attention to it
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Intelligence as a Conversion Ratio with Optimality Bounds
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One of the biggest misconceptions people have about intelligence is seeing it as some kind of unbounded scalar stat, like height. "Future AI will have 10,000 IQ", that sort of thing. Intelligence is a conversion ratio, with an optimality bound. Increasing intelligence is not so
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Growing Up in the 90s: Neural Nets, Scaling Laws, and Artificial Consciousness
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My ideal timeline: Growing up in the 90s, discovering neural nets, scaling laws, and building an artificial consciousness.pic.twitter.com/FQMunONGm3
— hardmaru (@hardmaru) 29 mars 2026My ideal timeline: Growing up in the 90s, discovering neural nets, scaling laws, and building an artificial consciousness.