AI Dynamics

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  • AI market crash risk from cheap Chinese open-weight models

    ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—œ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต. It may only need to become too cheap to sell. Scott Galloway calls this possibility โ€œAI dumping.โ€ His argument is that inexpensive Chinese open-weight models could become capable enough

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  • Critique of ‘AI is inevitable’ as rhetorical argument

    โ€œ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒโ€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜. ๐—œ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฎ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜. The phrase makes every decision sound as though it has already been made by history, which is convenient when the person declaring AI

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  • Should startups launch with humans or agents first?
    Should startups launch with humans or agents first?

    ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ต๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜? If I were starting a company today, I would be very tempted to ask one question before making the first hire: Can an agent do this? The economics are difficult to ignore. Agents can

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  • 5-level scale to distinguish real AI agents from chatbot hype

    Most "AI agents" I get demoed are a chatbot with a to-do list. Every systems integrator this year says they sell agents. Very few do. I've spent 20 years putting automation into companies. I use a 5-level scale to tell the real thing from the costume, and it takes about 30

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  • Google Maps as a model for invisible AI adoption

    ๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ด๐—น๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—น๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—บ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ผ. It never asked us to become route engineers or understand traffic-prediction models. We entered a destination, received a recommendation, and occasionally ignored it because we were

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  • AI changes the exchange of knowledge and intelligence ownership
    AI changes the exchange of knowledge and intelligence ownership

    ๐—ช๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ด๐—ฒ. ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ผ ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ? For decades, people published tutorials, code, research, photographs, reviews, and conversations because the internet offered reach in return. AI changes that exchange. A contribution

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  • Affordable AI image model with low inference cost
    Affordable AI image model with low inference cost

    ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜. Prompt: โ€œTwo dogs, perfect eye contact, natural expressions.โ€ Inference cost: one slice of salami. The model responded instantly, required very little compute, and produced anatomically

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  • AI is designed, not inevitable, argues Dr. Carissa Vรฉliz

    โ€œ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒโ€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ป๐—ผ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด๐˜†. Dr. Carissa Vรฉliz makes a point every AI leader should hear: technology is not predetermined. It is designed. And yet we often discuss AI as if it were the weather. Job

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  • Outsourcing judgment to confident AI instead of expert
    Outsourcing judgment to confident AI instead of expert

    ๐—œ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€. Not with chest pain, thankfully, but I have absolutely asked AI a question I should have taken to a real expert, trusted the answer because it sounded calm and convincing, and only later realized I had outsourced judgment to a very confident

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  • AI logos mirror overpromise versus mundane reality
    AI logos mirror overpromise versus mundane reality

    ๐—œ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—œ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด๐—ผ๐˜€. Maybe they are simply reflecting the output, because every AI company promises to transform humanity, reinvent work, and accelerate intelligence, but the moment someone asks for a clean PowerPoint or a decent

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