Cheap models are still getting cheaper, but the highest end models increasingly offer a combination of intelligence, judgement, planning and correctness that make using them, rather than cheap models, extremely valuable. And because they are valuable, companies can charge more.
@emollick
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AI agents driving token demand and compute pricing
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It is trendy to discuss Jevon's Paradox in AI (as AI gets more efficient, overall use increases) but the current situation is much simpler: thanks to agents, token demand is surging and compute is supply constrained, at least for powerful models. That will be reflected in pricing
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AI will make expert knowledge accessible to all
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I would expect that a lot of things that were old hat to experts, but completely inaccessible to most people, will go viral in the coming months. Sure, anyone could have done those things before, but it required a lot of deep knowledge. Now the AI can make it happen by asking.
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ASI vs AGI: Definitional debate on AI advancement
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Sorry, ASI, not AGI. And to all the people saying that they don't see how ASI could discover something that humans and trading algos have not discovered… the very definition of ASI requires that it should be able to do so!
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AGI trading and market opacity risks
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It is not even clear that anyone would know they were trading against an AGI, because, also by definition, it would be better at hiding any evidence that it was a counterparty than any human could detect. Someone would just get very rich, very fast. Or the AI would, depending.
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AGI secrecy and financial market dominance
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The easiest way to make money fast from a superhuman artificial intelligence would be in the financial markets, almost by definition. So the first lab to develop one, if AGI is possible, would almost certainly keep it quiet for as long as they could. Beats charging for API access
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AI tutors improve learning outcomes in RCT study
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Good news; The same research team in a more recent RCT found that AIs prompted to act as a tutor improved learning outcomes! https://
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
m?abstract_id=6423358
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AI tutors improve learning more than unprompted use
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The research team (including @hamsabastani who is on X) found that letting students just use AI resulted in them using it to accidentally shortcut learning But both that study and a separate RCT found that AIs prompted to act as a tutor improved learning https://
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
m?abstract_id=6423358
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LLM trained on Victorian-era British texts dataset
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Want to talk to the past? Here is an LLM "trained entirely from scratch on a corpus of over 28,000 Victorian-era British texts published between 1837 and 1899, drawn from a dataset made available by the British Library." Quite different from an LLM roleplaying a Victorian.
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AI tutoring improves learning over unrestricted use
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No, both papers show the same thing. Unrestricted AI use by students of chatbots can undermine learning. Using AI prompted to act like a tutor improves learning.