The 3D printing company would actually have a much more convincing argument here, because the mechanism through which matter replication brings infinite prosperity is easy to articulate, and so is the dire threat represented by grey goo. Whereas for AGI it is all left implicit
AGI
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AI Companies and AGI: An Analogy with 3D Printing
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When companies that train deep learning models talk about AGI, it's as if a 3D printing company talked about how the next generation of the technology was going to bring universal abundance by enabling arbitrary matter replication — if we can avoid the grey goo scenario
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Should AI Development Be Paused? Policy Perspectives
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Is it time to pause AI? Canadian Parliament Member @MichelleRempel and I make some suggestions. https://
garymarcus.substack.com/p/is-it-time-t
o-hit-the-pause-button?utm_source=twitter&sd=pf
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Hundreds of thousands dead: AI technology consequences unveiled
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Over the corpses of now hundreds of thousands of people
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Twitter Poll Shows AI Experts Predict AGI Arrival by 2043
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The over/under for the arrival of AGI is currently the year 2043 according to people who say they work in AI in my highly-scientific Twitter poll.
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Alignment cannot be achieved with minimal effort or partial care
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No. You don't get tiny bits of caring about humans without vastly better alignment. It's like hoping that if you put a few hours of work into a piece of algorithmic trading software, that it'll make 1% as much of the big profits you heard about others making.
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ASI Systems in Fiction: AI Safeguards and Override Mechanisms
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When asking Bing about the key differences between the two ASI systems in Person of Interest — it suggests a follow up question about its personal preference Of course when you ask it, some override is triggered and it refuses to answer. “Unhacking” is right — this is super
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Digital Afterlife: Superintelligence Preservation of Human Consciousness
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Our value to them could be tiny and they'd at least save our brain-states and run it on a basketball-sized computer for a few hundred thousand subjective years. I expect value zero. These will not be our children; if I expected them to be that, I'd feel differently.
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SI Biotech Mastery Eliminates Human Labor Economic Value
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It goes to zero positive products; at the latest, after an SI has sufficient biotech mastery to build something that does the same work as a human without demanding pay. (Easier with nanotech, but some people aren't familiar with that physical analysis and think it's magic.)
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Skepticism About Hyped Future Technologies and AI Narratives
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We're all going to be living in the metaverse getting everything we need to know from ChatXYZ, surrounded by stable diffusion art, paid for with crypto, and delivered by self-driving cars, or flying taxis. All fusion powered and run by AGI quantum computers. So much future! Soon!