It’s No now and no it shall remain for longer than many people think. I have been saying this since 2016… the criteria are clear: you don’t need a steering wheel or a driver and you can go where you want to go; anything less is (at most) L4, by definition
@garymarcus
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Twitter’s End: Elon Musk’s Impact on Platform Future
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Great essay in
@Analyticsindiam
that
@elonmusk
would be well-advised to read. Cc
@Jason
https://
analyticsindiamag.com/this-is-the-en
d-of-twitter-as-we-know-it/
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Phoenix Testing Inadequate for Full Level 5 Autonomous Validation
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a major city is not adequate for L5, since eg you can pick Phoenix w good weather and few pedestrians which is just a subset of the full problem. See eg
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Level 5 Autonomy Challenges in Urban Environments Like NYC
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No, that is not L5. There may be some cities like that, especially ones designed from scratch, but that’s not L5. And it won’t help eg in NYC. Certainly possible in principle to be safer than humans, fully automated, and it probably will happen, I just doubt it will be soon.
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Bet on Global L5 AI Analysis by End 2029
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Great. Sounds like we basically agree on criteria. You donate 5k to Doctors Without Borders if we don’t have that analysis for global L5 by 31 December 2029; if we do I will donate $5000 to a charity of your choice. deal assuming we can agree on wording?
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Level 5 Autonomous Driving Definition Global Roads Without Steering Wheel
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No that’s just more demos, and also restricted to US. True level 5 means you don’t need a steering wheel and the car takes you where you want to go around the globe (on conventional roads) without restriction. That’s how it is defined. Eg https://
d1v9sz08rbysvx.cloudfront.net/ricardo/media/
assets/rickin-pageimages/6-levels-automated-driving.jpg
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Level 5 autonomous vehicles: global deployment by 2030?
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Game on. Will we have L5 driverless cars by end of decade, around the globe?
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Autonomous Vehicle Safety Evaluation and Independent Agency Oversight
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Most commutes, around the globe, really? I am willing to bracket regulatory issues and pulled over vehicles if we can agree on a way to evaluate safety that is some kind of independent agency that has access to data.
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L5 AGI Safety Betting: Can We Achieve It by 2030?
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You want to put money on (safe as humans) L5 by end of decade? @metaculus @MatthewJBar https://
x.com/realGeorgeHotz
/realGeorgeHotz/status/1591567145032368129
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Innate Priors Shape AI Learning: Evolution Over Minimalism
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– you still need some prior to organize that infinite data and decide how to generalize from it
– the choice to minimize is an aesthetic choice, not a scientific one; evolution has clearly endowed many animals with significant priors (eg baby ibex climbing down a mountain).