Most commutes, around the globe, really? I am willing to bracket regulatory issues and pulled over vehicles if we can agree on a way to evaluate safety that is some kind of independent agency that has access to data.
@garymarcus
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L5 AGI Safety Betting: Can We Achieve It by 2030?
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You want to put money on (safe as humans) L5 by end of decade? @metaculus @MatthewJBar https://
x.com/realGeorgeHotz
/realGeorgeHotz/status/1591567145032368129
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Innate Priors Shape AI Learning: Evolution Over Minimalism
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– you still need some prior to organize that infinite data and decide how to generalize from it
– the choice to minimize is an aesthetic choice, not a scientific one; evolution has clearly endowed many animals with significant priors (eg baby ibex climbing down a mountain). -
Strong innate priors in machine learning systems
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that’s learning that the set of relevant cases is empty; it’s still a strong innate prior
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BIG-Bench Benchmarks Face Validity Scrutiny for AGI Predictions
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Trouble in BIG-Bench paradise? – @ErnestSDavis looks at 48 of the benchmarks within and finds problems with most: https://
cs.nyu.edu/~davise/Benchm
arks/BigBenchDiscussion.html
… – Many project AGI timelines based on performance on these benchmarks. If the benchmarks aren’t valid, consequent timelines are problematic