“In this paper, we show that an accurate prediction about such an extreme event, e.g., a big hit, may in fact be an indication of poor rather than good forecasting ability.” Paper: https://
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
m?abstract_id=1621800
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RESEARCH
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Extreme Event Prediction Paradox in Forecasting Accuracy
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Lucky predictions aren’t prophet-like expertise in data analysis
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Everyone should know that the people (whether entrepreneurs or pundits) who correctly predict an extreme event that no one else expected are not prophets. In fact, they are often the WORST at predictions. Rather then being wise, they are often bad at data analysis but got lucky.
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AI Machine Learning Drive Healthcare Innovation with DataRobot
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🧬 By combining health data with #AI and #machine learning, @decodehealthai enables its pharma, diagnostic & tech partners to drive healthcare innovation with DataRobot. Better healthcare decisions, faster.
— DataRobot (@DataRobot) 9 novembre 2022
Learn more ⬇️https://t.co/20ARvj4o2K pic.twitter.com/u2f6AHYy0pBy combining health data with #AI and #machine learning, @decodehealthai enables its pharma, diagnostic & tech partners to drive healthcare innovation with DataRobot. Better healthcare decisions, faster. Learn more https://
datarobot.com/customers/deco
de-health/
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Medical Technology Advancement for Blood Vessel Visualization
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Advancement to help visualize blood vessels#MEDTECH@mvollmer1 @PawlowskiMario @Nicochan33 @antgrasso @MHcommunicate @ChuckDBrooks @HeinzVHoenen @Ronald_vanLoon @rwang0 @kashthefuturist @Hana_ElSayyed @morgfair @TamaraMcCleary @Shi4Tech @enricomolinaripic.twitter.com/RqIcVdr1qB
— Terence Leung (@TerenceLeungSF) 9 novembre 2022Advancement to help visualize blood vessels
#MEDTECH @mvollmer1 @PawlowskiMario @Nicochan33 @antgrasso @MHcommunicate @ChuckDBrooks @HeinzVHoenen @Ronald_vanLoon @rwang0 @kashthefuturist @Hana_ElSayyed @morgfair @TamaraMcCleary @Shi4Tech @enricomolinari -
Replay: AI for the Environment and Data Challenges
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#replay: Conference "AI for the Environment, the Data Challenge" organized by @HubFranceIA https://actuia.com/actualite/replay-conference-lia-au-service-de-lenvironnement-lenjeu-des-donnees-organisee-par-le-hub-france-ia/
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GNSS Spoofing Threats Vulnerability Autonomous Vehicles Drones
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How vulnerable are unmanned #AutonomousVehicles & #systems ? Super #research @Spirent on #drones & #Risk of GNSS #spoofing threats! https://
bit.ly/3EYzli9 #tech #innovation #SpirentAmbassador #5G #testing #CyberSecurity #Security @Shi4Tech @andi_staub @dinisguarda #IoT -

New York Times Needle: Visualizing AI Uncertainty and User Anxiety
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The New York Times Needle is good. It was even better at illustrating uncertainty in the old days, when it vibrated, though we hated it because uncertainty makes us anxious. https://
sjdm.org/journal/20/200
907b/jdm200907b.pdf
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Rats Display Human Investment Biases in Capitalism Study
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We finally have taught rats capitalism! And, fascinating, they behave a lot like humans in the stock market, displaying human investment biases including doubling down on losses & a tendency to avoid quickly realizing losses while rapidly realizing gains. https://
psycnet.apa.org/record/2021-15
335-002
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China’s NLP Innovation Challenge: Breaking Rules Beyond Incremental Improvements
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They’ve been very active in NLP & Deep Reinforcement Learning too. They’ve been very good on taking existing techniques & improving them. The challenge will be to innovate (ie break the rules) – same challenge Japan had in early 90s + President Xi clamped down on tech innovators.
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Simulation Environments with Thermodynamics for RL Research
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Question: Can anyone recommend simulation environments for AI research where the second law of thermodynamics applies? It feels like this is needed to avoid collapse of some RL exploration strategies and intrinsic motivation. https://
flip.it/SodkpS