i think the wsj is the overall best us newspaper right now, but they published an article called "The Next Great Leap in AI Is Behind Schedule and Crazy Expensive" many hours after we announced o3?!
MARKET TRENDS
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Humanity’s Computing Power Consumption Will Grow Every Year
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The most reliably predictable trend of the next 100 years: every year, humanity will use significantly more computing power than the previous year. Someone should start an ETF based on that thesis (it's not just $NVDA and $AMD, it's cloud services, the data center industry,
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OpenAI Faces Challenges Developing GPT-5 Orion Model
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I very good article with inside information on OpenAI's struggle to develop GPT 5. #AI #RiseoftheRobots https://
wsj.com/tech/ai/openai
-gpt5-orion-delays-639e7693?st=eLvTGn
… via @WSJ -
Sales as Percentage of Total Expenses: Historical Growth Trend
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Sales📈as a % of Total Expenses 💯 👉 1800 🌾 5% 👉 1900 🏭 12% 👉 1950 📺 18% 👉 2000 💻 25% 👉 2025 🌐 35% 🌍Competitive global markets 💸 higher customer acquisition costs📈 but more scalable #AI #Tech #Megatrends
→ View original post on X — @mikequindazzi, 2024-12-22 02:37 UTC
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Global GDP Growth and Per Capita Wealth Trends Through 2050
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GDP | Population | GDP Per Person 1800: $175B | 1B | $175 1850: $400B | 1.2B | $333 1900: $2T | 1.65B | $1.2K 1950: $6T | 2.5B | $2.4K 2000: $40T | 6B | $6.7K 2025: $120T | 8B | $15K 2050: $180T | 9.7B | $18.5K Average Per Person GDP#EmergingTech #AI &
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AI Creates Knowledge Unlike Previous Technology Waves
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As I told @ManoushZ on @NPR yesterday, this last wave of tech (social media, search, etc.) helped people access information. AI instead helps people create new knowledge and ideas. That's why this moment feels so different—that’s why it matters so much.
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Evolution of Global Employment: From Agriculture to Service Economy
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Top Percent of #Jobs 🌎 🧺 Year 0: Farming 94% 🐔 1800: Farming 80% 🏭 1900: Factory 55% 🏭 1950: Factory 52% 🛍️ 2000: Retail 65% 👩🔧 2025: Service 80% 🚀 2050: Service 86% #Megatrends driving #FutureOfWork ➡️ #AI #Tech, #Trades, #Healthcare ➡️ @MikeQuindazzi
→ View original post on X — @mikequindazzi, 2024-12-21 17:47 UTC
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ARC-AGI-1 Saturation: Ensemble Methods Achieving 81% Score
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what was this thing btw? "Moreover, ARC-AGI-1 is now saturating – besides o3's new score, the fact is that a large ensemble of low-compute Kaggle solutions can now score 81% on the private eval" big ensemble of heuristics?
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USCO Uncertainty Allows Big Tech to Normalize AI Technology
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The longer the USCO leaves things uncertain — which Aaron implies is intentional — the longer Big Tech has to normalize the technology. This interpretation seems to fit with the agenda here.
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Autonomous vehicles outperform human drivers in San Francisco
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I often ride them in San Francisco and find them to be smoother than most human drivers. But Boston driving is…special