Prediction: By end of 2024 we will see
• 7-10 GPT-4 level models
• No massive advance (no GPT-5, or disappointing GPT-5)
• Price wars
• Very little moat for anyone
• No robust solution to hallucinations
• Modest lasting corporate adoption
• Modest profits, split 7-10 ways
ECONOMY
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Seven GPT-4 Competitors, Price Wars, Modest AI Adoption
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Generative AI in Practice: 100+ Business Application Launch
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I am so excited to personally invite you to the launch of my new book #GenerativeAI in Practice: 100+ Amazing Ways Generative #ArtificialIntelligence (#AI) Is Changing Business And Society, hosted by #Aimii in #MK Register: https://
lnkd.in/eaBkCDjt
Online: https://
lnkd.in/eeWg6cSi -
Monopoly on AI Investment Sector Discussed
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It’s a monopoly in a sector, viz on *investment in AI* I didn’t say people didn’t (or wouldn’t in my alternative history) still build tractors or fintech or whatever. Very uncharitable reading, put in rather kind words.
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AI Company Faces Competition, Legal Troubles, Strategic Challenges
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Sure but they also have already 4 close competitors that have largely caught up, with at least one competing on price, a dozen or so lawsuits, upcoming licensing costs, at least 2 or 3 federal investigations, no moat, high operating costs, and a desperate need to build something
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New Content Technology Replaces Jobs But Empowers More Creators
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So far, every new content creation technology has replaced parts of the previous industry, but empowered a larger number of people, and created more jobs. Despite printing press, photography, radio, VCR, computers, CGI, internet: more people are content producers than ever before
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EU-US Trade and Technology Council Framework Agreement
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EU-US Trade and Technology Council https://
europa.eu/!9cbxQf
#trade #technology #innovation #digitaleu #europe @DigitalEU @elaniaz @ArturHabant @Fabriziobustama @RagusoSergio @PawlowskiMario @CurieuxExplorer @Shi4Tech @Khulood_Almani @Hana_ElSayyed @AkwyZ @antgrasso @enilev -
AI Transparency Will Favor Liberal Democracies Over Authoritarianism
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Liberalism justifies itself not just morally, but with the argument that free societies are more stable, efficient and competitive than totalitarian ones. If that is correct, then liberalism will benefit from the increasing transparency and organization of AI and win eventually
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US Society Increasingly Resembles Familiar Patterns Yearly
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The US looks more familiar every year.
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Major disruption from scaling alternative generation techniques
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Yes, this is exactly what the quoted passage says. It would likely a few years of major disruption while techniques to generate alternatives were scaled up. But the disruption would be pretty catastrophic.
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Single North Carolina mine controls global silicon wafer production
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The modern economy rests on a single road in Spruce Pine, North Carolina. The road runs to the two mines that is the sole supplier of the quartz required to make the crucibles needed to refine silicon wafers. There are no alternative sources known. From Conway’s Material World: