I have increased my estimate of the proliferation risk, which does indirectly increase the risk of fast takeoff, but my constant factor for the danger is still quite low.
AGI
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AGI’s Transformative Value: Games, Film, Music, Metaverse
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AGI Games | AGI Film | AGI Music | AGI Verse AGI will likely generate transformative economic value. 1). AGIGames.eth
2). AGIFilm.eth
3). AGIMusic.eth
4). AGIVerse.eth http://
MONTREAL.AI: Winning the #AGI Race #AGIGames #AGIFilm #AGIMusic #AGIVerse #MontrealAI -
Human-level AGI could run in a box, not data centers
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could ever possibly know. It is at least plausible that human level AGI might initially run in a box instead of an entire data center. Some still hope for quantum magic in the neurons; I think it more likely that they are actually kind of crappy computational elements.
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AGI Parameter Count vs Brain Synapses: Current Models Scale
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A common view is that human level AGI will require a parameter count in the order of magnitude of the brain’s 100 trillion synapses. The large language models and image generators are only about 1/1000 of that, but they already contain more information than a single human
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AI Debate 3 Reaches 14,270 Attendees Milestone
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AI DEBATE 3: Already 14,270 Attendees! Let's make HISTORY. Let's reach 100,000 attendees!! Invite your LinkedIn network to #AGIDebate ! LinkedIn: https://
linkedin.com/events/aidebat
e3-thisisthe2021debateth6796651928362221568/
… #AGI #AIDebate #MontrealAI #WeAreAGI -
Detecting Major AI Breakthroughs Before They Happen
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a thing about research i didn't get before openai: frequently before a big idea gets figured it out, multiple teams can sort of detect it on radar through the fog. you get an idea of where it's going to be and the rough shape far before anyone actually lays eyes on it.
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Inductive Biases Deep Learning Higher Level Cognition Overview
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“Inductive biases for deep learning of higher-level cognition” by Anirudh Goyal and Yoshua Bengio has a good overview of many important ideas in deep learning and the study of intelligence. https://
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.109
8/rspa.2021.0068
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Inspiration from Ajeya Cotra’s Sandwiching Concept in Research
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This paper was heavily inspired by prior work, especially Ajeya Cotra's 'sandwiching' concept:
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Scalable Oversight: Supervising AI Systems Beyond Human Capabilities
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To ensure that AI systems remain safe as they start to exceed human capabilities, we’ll need to develop techniques for scalable oversight: the problem of supervising systems’ behavior without assuming that the overseer understands the task better than the system being trained.