7/ the answer to these questions is at the heart of where AI goes over the next few years. individual researchers' positions on these topics vary wildly (from my own polling), so the future is uncertain. regardless, AI will be one of the greatest projects in human history!
AGI
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Compute vs Data: Two Schools of Thought on AI Progress
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2/ there are 2 schools of thought: 1) compute is the only real bottleneck to AI progress. the more we spend, the closer we get to AGI 2) we are hitting a data wall which will slow progress regardless of how much compute we have
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Video Generation Models Progress Beyond Current Limitations
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The progress in video generation is astounding. Sora, Veo, Kling, etc are only the GPT2s of video at best. When the GPT4 equivalents arise, machines will be able to do reasoning with video, chain-of-thought with video, multimodal generalisation, inference and control from
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General Intelligence Considered Low Bar for AI Goals
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“general intelligence” is a pretty low bar as far as goals go
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Build Framework First, Models Will Follow Strategy
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You get it. Build the framework, wait for model to catch up.
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AI Session Memory Limitations and State Persistence
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Yes, but only in the existing session. It doesn't remember things across sessions.
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AI Philosophy: System 2 Thinking and Understanding the Universe
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First time back in NYC since the sad passing of Prof Kahneman & Dr Kissinger – brilliant thinkers with whom I spent many fascinating hours here discussing AI & philosophy, from what it would mean for AI to have System 2 thinking, to Spinoza & using AI to understand the universe
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Tribeca 2024: The Thinking Game Documentary on DeepMind AGI
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Looking forward later today to the #Tribeca2024 premiere of The Thinking Game – a new documentary about the story of @GoogleDeepMind
, AGI & AlphaFold, by Greg Kohs with music by Dan Deacon; it’s a sequel of sorts to the award-winning AlphaGo documentary https://
tribecafilm.com/films/thinking
-game-2024
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AGI Achievement Expected Within a Century or So
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We’ll reach AGI in a century, give or take an order of magnitude.
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BabyAGI Maintenance: Finding Active Forks and Alternatives
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fair question… haven't touched the babyagi repo in a long time… started working on a new version this year, but might make it a different repo. any suggestions on where to point ppl to who want to fork an actively supported version of babyagi (or similar project?)