When will we get the first AGI?
AGI
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Ilya Sutskever’s AGI Path Lacks Compelling Ideas Say Observers
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Researchers would flock to Ilya Sustskever's company if he had any great new ideas on how to reach AGI, but the word on the street is that he doesn't.
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AGI Jobs Platform: Decentralized Task Marketplace with AI Agents
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[ Jobs.AGI.eth ] Post jobs, pay in $AGI, and watch AGI Agents take on tasks. Need more power? AGI Agents hire AGI Nodes. Validators (AGI Nodes) ensure top-notch job quality and transparency. DEMO (On Sepolia Testnet): http://
montrealai.github.io/agijobsv1.html #AGIAgent #AGINode -
Grim Implications Unrelated to Separate ASI Extinction Risk
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Grim if true (for reasons basically unrelated to the totally separate track where later ASI later kills everyone later)
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LLMs Alone Won’t Solve AI: The Next Decade
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LLMs alone won’t get us there, and even if we do have better algorithms, there’s a lot of work to do. See my essay Next Decade in AI.
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AGI before 2040: acknowledging LLM limits and next steps
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AGI before 2040 could definitely happen. There are a lot of problems to solve but a lot of money and people working on it. The sooner people acknowledge the limits on LLMs, the sooner we might move on to what happens next. And it is hard to predict that. See also my fun dialog
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Kurzweil Reaffirms 2029 Timeline for Artificial General Intelligence
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update; kurzweil is standing by 2029, see https://
open.substack.com/pub/garymarcus
/p/clarification-from-ray-kurzweil
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Kurzweil Clarification: Gary Marcus Analyzes AGI Predictions
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https://
open.substack.com/pub/garymarcus
/p/clarification-from-ray-kurzweil
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AGI Timeline Predictions: Kurzweil, Musk, and Aschenbrenner Forecasts
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Clarification from Ray Kurzweil: He is still predicting AGI 2029, per an email he just sent me. (details in link). A few clear, specific predictions I have heard @elonmusk
: end of 2025 @leopoldasch
: 2027
Kurzweil: 2029 (me: not this decade)