The most spectacularly wrong predictions are made by overfitting exponentials, and Ray Kurzweil is the world champion of it.
AGI
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Gary Marcus and Vincent Boucher Host Major AI Debate
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Gary Marcus and Vincent Boucher hosted another of their epic AI debates with a cast of fascinating speakers. // #agidebate @Montreal_AI @GaryMarcus // #AI #machinelearning #deeplearning
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AGI Challenges Worth Overcoming for Transformative Benefits
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there will be scary moments as we move towards AGI-level systems, and significant disruptions, but the upsides can be so amazing that it’s well worth overcoming the great challenges to get there.
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Future AI Will Surpass ChatGPT Capabilities
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and we’ll see great benefits all along the way—they will make ChatGPT look like a boring toy.
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McCormick reaper automated economic work not true AGI
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But that’s not really AGI. E.g., the McCormick reaper automated 90% of economically valuable human work.
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LangChain AGI Demo Now Available on Hugging Face Spaces
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And now @JavaFXpert put this in a @huggingface spaces! https://
huggingface.co/spaces/JavaFXp
ert/langchain-agi
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30% Chance of AGI by 2030, Says Jeff Clune
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According to @jeffclune there is a 30% chance we will achieve AGI by 2030 (defined as AI capable of doing 50% of economically valuable human work)
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Ben Goertzel predicts AGI arrival within 3-5 years timeline
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Now @bengoertzel who helped coin the term AGI is discussing says that we may get there in "3-5 years and even if it were 20 years, that's still very soon."
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AI Debate on Innateness and Physical Embodiment of Intelligence
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Fascinating discussion right now at the https://
agidebate.com where @YejinChoinka and @dileeplearning are discussing innateness and physical embodiment of AI. Dileep says he's changing his mind since a few weeks ago about how to learn spatial representations. #AI -
AI Revolution Shaped Collectively Beyond Corporate Control
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the most that openai, or any other company, can do is to steer the AI revolution a little. this will impact all aspects of society, and will be an emergent thing created and shaped by all of us. much much bigger than any company.