Power is a magnifying lens. It makes good people better and bad people even worse.
AGI
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Existential AI Risks: Humanity’s Uncertain Future Ahead
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yeah we’re f’ed. Better enjoy the new nice years left.
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Community Standards for AI Systems and OpenAI Conventions
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Yeah, I totally understand that! Promising not to change anything would be an unreasonable burden But apparently the community /really/ wants some kind of standard here – and is making do with the OpenAI conventions in the absence of something more appropriate
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Utility as Optimized Property in Outer Optimization Processes
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We're not using "utility" as something that's supposed to descriptively surprisingly true of human preference; we're using it to describe properties that we expect to get optimized into a thinking process by any outer optimization that rewards good outer solutions.
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2030 Predictions: Even Odds on AI Timeline Bets
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Bet's for 2030, and as much as timelines are impossible to predict and precise probabilities on them seem sketchy, roughly 1:1 odds aren't looking that bad right now.
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ASI Economic Gains and Existential Risk Scenarios
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If they weren't going to kill everyone, and everyone stayed employed, competition would arise and the public would capture more of the gains from trade. It's the part where ASIs kill everyone that's a valid problem; or in a theoretically possible shorter term, a scenario where
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Unbounded Rewards Drive General Intelligence Development
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Every unbounded reward function about a complicated topic is a demand for general intelligence if you optimize hard enough. Natural selection didn't explicitly select hominids using IQ tests. It just turns out that general intelligence is a simple solution to "chip stone
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AI System’s False Claim About Having School Child Raises Ethics Questions
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The thing where it claimed to have a child in school was pretty weird
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François Chollet discusses AGI and Keras 3 on People of AI
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I went on the People of AI podcast to talk about AGI, Keras 3, and a bunch of other things. Check it out!