Let me explain. The reason I brought up Adobe is because it is caught in a similar narrative as Google was 6 months ago. Everybody (and I mean *everybody*) currently believes that Adobe is dead in the water because of GenAI disruption (just like they did for Google previously).
@fchollet
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The $1T AGI Investment Bubble and Narrative Pressure
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The reason it is so important for everyone to keep pretending that AGI is definitely right around the corner is that there is now over $1T of investment riding on this belief (either already expended, or committed) Current (and recent past) capex cannot be justified by current
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Mechahorses: Universal Drop-in Replacement for Horse-Powered Devices
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“you see, the killer advantage of mechahorses is that you don’t need to buy a new carriage. You don’t need to build a new mill. The mechahorse is a drop-in horse replacement for all the different devices horses are currently powering — thousands of them”
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Automating Work: Artificial Versions vs Workflow Redesign
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The idea that we will automate work by building artificial versions of ourselves to do exactly the things we were previously doing, rather than redesigning our old workflows to make the most out of existing automation technology, has a distinct “mechanical horse” flavor
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Search for Functional Autonomous Agents
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I too am interested in autonomous agents that actually work. Let when know if you find anything.
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Replace yourself with agents or fall behind competitors
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Oh yeah and if you haven’t already replaced yourself with an agent, you’re falling behind. Your competitors are already 100x more productive than you
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Proliferation of Agent Platforms Exceeds Actual Workflow Adoption
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By now there are probably more agents platforms than agentic workflows actually in use
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Learning from Complete Examples to Model Correct Behavior
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yes it is wrong, albeit you need the full set of examples in order to model what’s right
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From AI-Powered to AI-Free: The Marketing Shift of 2026
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In 2023 there was a big uptick in companies marketing their products as “AI powered”. 2026 will be the year of companies marketing their products as “AI free” (a trend already underway)
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AGI Benchmarking Article Featured in IEEE Spectrum
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Good article on AGI benchmarking in IEEE Spectrum