So what is your best estimate of the probability that if AI is not strongly regulated it will lead to human extinction in the next 30 years? If you are a true Bayesian you should be able to give a number. My current estimate is 0.1. I suspect Yann's is <0.01
SAFETY
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Open Sourcing Nuclear Weapons: Security and Ethics Implications
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Let's open source nuclear weapons too to make them safer. The good guys (us) will always have bigger ones than the bad guys (them) so it should all be OK.
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Inflection Supports International Code of Conduct for Advanced AI
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AI is progressing fast. We must proactively manage this wave of powerful technologies. Inflection supports the new International Code of Conduct for Organizations Developing Advanced AI Systems: inflection.ai/frontier-safet…
→ View original post on X — @inflectionai, 2023-10-31 18:53 UTC
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UK AI Safety Summit Addresses Existential Risks and International Coordination
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The UK's big AI safety summit takes place tomorrow. It's a two-day event that's set to be jampacked with lots of chatter on the existential risks surrounding AI – and finding some international coordination on the technology (no mean feat with both the US and China attending).
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Andrew Ng Existential Risk Claims Disputed by Former Google Researcher
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Andrew Ng is claiming that the idea that AI could make us extinct is a big-tech conspiracy. A datapoint that does not fit this conspiracy theory is that I left Google so that I could speak freely about the existential threat.
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Inflection releases frontier AI safety report card
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Our mission at Inflection is to build a personal AI for everyone. We're committed to working on frontier AI models in a responsible manner. Here is our latest safety report card: https://
inflection.ai/frontier-safety -

Smart Medical Devices Need Reliability for Patient Safety
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#Healthcare facilities also need smart #MedicalDevices to be reliable, given that patient diagnoses and well-being are on the line @SimplyNUC v/ @insightdottech https://
insight.tech/health/a-presc
ription-for-medical-devices-embedded-edge-computing?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=organic-social&utm_campaign=2023-q3-tdc&utm_content=sinnott
… #IoT #AI #5G #IntelPartner #ITinfluencer @Hal_Good @Damien_CABADI @FinMKTG @kalydeoo @Ym78200 -
President’s Executive Order on AI Key Highlights
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A few interesting points highlighted by @kchonyc in the President's Executive Order on AI.
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GPT-4 Stochasticity: Variability in Consecutive Model Outputs
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GPT4 seems to have stochasticity — it also gave me 250k (wrong) and 25k (correct) in subsequent tries:
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Ilya Sutskever shares OpenAI hopes and fears for AI future
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Exclusive: Ilya Sutskever, OpenAI’s chief scientist, on his hopes and fears for the future of AI https://
bit.ly/3MpG07U #AI #MachineLearning #DeepLearning #LLMs #DataScience