It’s a little too soft to resolve properly. Maybe one example. Pick something everyone thinks is surely easy to automate yesterday, eg call centers. Number of employees across the 5 biggest call center companies falls by 50% by year X.
MARKET TRENDS
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Moving AI Predictions to Betting Markets for Truth
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Let’s take AI predictions from blog posts, podcasts and tweets and move them to betting markets, our state of the art in truth. My struggle has been coming up with good, concrete, resolvable predicates. Ideally, predicates related to industry metrics and macroeconomics. Eg
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Aggressive AGI Timeline: Narrative Speculation on Superintelligent AI Emergence
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https://
ai-2027.com
This is a fascinating and extremely well-written narrative speculation (or "scenario forecast") about how #AGI and then superintelligent #AI might emerge along a very aggressive timeline. I doubt that things will happen this fast…but highly recommended! -

Deepseek Wukong BYD: Signaling New Reality in India
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debates aside, you need Deepseek Wukong BYD in India to signal a new reality
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AppLovin explores TikTok acquisition outside China markets
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AppLovin has officially confirmed it's exploring "a purchase of TikTok in all markets outside of China." Here's what @AppLovin disclosed this evening in a new @SECGov filing.
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AI transforms online shopping with smart personalization and virtual try-on
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Shopping online just got smarter. AI-powered assistants are personalizing recommendations, improving search, and even helping you try on products virtually. See how AI is shaping the future of digital commerce: https://
nvda.ws/4hZom86 -
AI Companies Growing Faster Than Previous SaaS Generation
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But Stripe actually benchmarked the current generation AI leaders against previous generation SaaS leaders, and empirically, they are growing much faster—in terms of real revenue from real companies/customers—than SaaS was in some very good years.
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Stripe observes explosive growth in AI company adoption
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We also discuss Stripe's front row seat to emerging AI companies. A commanding majority of household names, and some which aren't as well-known yet, use Stripe for payments, billing, etc. Many people with an informed POV on growth rates have been surprised how fast AI growing.
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Financial Industry Failures and Systemic Customer Impact
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… abandons the transaction wondering why the entire financial industry cannot seem to get its #%$*(#(% together. And thus, a small amount of getting stuff together, with extremely leveraged consequences over the customer base.
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Stripe’s Scale Advantage: Probing Global Financial System
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Using the incredible scale advantage, Stripe is able to hold back a small portion of global retries (i.e. a very large number of retries) to perturb to probe the global financial system, trying e.g. different routes or different semantically equivalent ways to phrase messages.