My suggestion was only about how to speak about AGI. ad 1) I can't help with that, sorry 🙂 ad 2) That's why I am brainstorming the Resilient Civilization – which can be a place where different life-forms flourish. I don't think it has to be a zero-sum and winner-take-all
AGI
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AGI as Technology Governance: Practical Planning Over Speculation
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My suggestion is to stop framing AGI as sci-fi speculation. Frame it as technology governance and a way to build a resilient civilization. Less fearmongering, more practical planning. That's how you get boardrooms & policymakers to listen.
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Eric Schmidt predicts AGI with 80-90% expertise in 5 years
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Dr. Eric Schmidt, ex-Google CEO says in an interview that within the next 5 years we will have an AI entity that is in a sense AGI and will have 80-90% of all (!) expertise of all disciplines!
— Chubby♨️ (@kimmonismus) 7 novembre 2024
It will also write its own code!pic.twitter.com/N6bu82uh1ZDr. Eric Schmidt, ex-Google CEO says in an interview that within the next 5 years we will have an AI entity that is in a sense AGI and will have 80-90% of all (!) expertise of all disciplines! It will also write its own code!
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Can AI perceive itself without constructing narrative identity?
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Can you look in the mirror without telling a story about yourself?
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Microsoft CEO: Self-Improving AI Within 3-5 Years Before Singularity
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Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, says in an interview surprisingly openly that self-improving AI will be achieved in 3-5 years at the latest, but certainly before 2030.
— Chubby♨️ (@kimmonismus) 7 novembre 2024
That would be the point in time when we would slowly enter the singularity.
The consequences after that… pic.twitter.com/M2aHzrcLULMustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, says in an interview surprisingly openly that self-improving AI will be achieved in 3-5 years at the latest, but certainly before 2030. That would be the point in time when we would slowly enter the singularity. The consequences after that
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Winning the AI War: Strategic Defense Policy Perspective
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I have written about this topic in the past—in 2022, I wrote about the AI War and how we must win: https://
alexw.substack.com/p/war and I gave a testimony for the House Armed Services Committee last year: -
O1 LLM Reasoning Capabilities and Future of Human Labor
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Now that it has been indicated from various sides that o1 is coming tomorrow, I am cautiously optimistic. None of us should underestimate O1. It is proof that LLMs can reason. If this is combined with agents, there is no longer any reason why human labor should be involved.
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Skepticism on AGI: Separating Science from Magical Thinking
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Lol you lost me at AGI Feel free to believe that a magical machine god exists and has been built by someone. I'll be here doing science and engineering in the real, not magical, world.
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Progress Towards AGI: ARC Prize 2024 Competition Update
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Let’s go! Every day we come closer to our goal. „ARC-AGI measures progress towards artificial general intelligence using a private evaluation dataset. ARC Prize 2024 is scored against this leaderboard and the Grand Prize is unlocked by any team that reaches at least 85%.
ARC