I don't think saying AI is ahead of where the vast majority of experts and forecasters expected in 2022 is very controversial. There is no doubt there is a jagged frontier of AI ability (heck, we coined that term in our paper!), but it is also clear that many of the areas you
AGI
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PVPO: Pre-Estimated Value-Based Policy Optimization for Agentic Reasoning
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PVPO Pre-Estimated Value-Based Policy Optimization for Agentic Reasoning
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AI Math Performance Surpasses 2022 Expert Forecasts
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We can now say pretty definitively that AI progress is well ahead of expectations from a few years ago. In 2022, the Forecasting Research Institute had super forecasters & experts to predict AI progress. They gave a 2.3% & 8.6% probability of an AI Math Olympiad gold by 2025…
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Hinton changes his discourse on AI risks
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Après avoir dit que l'IA est plus dangereuse qu'une bombe nucléaire, après avoir été pris pour un Dieu omniscient par les plus pessimistes qui adoraient répéter que Hinton, le père de la backpropagation, hurlait contre le risque de l'IA…
— Defend Intelligence (Anis Ayari) (@DFintelligence) 2 septembre 2025
Le voilà qu'il change de discours.
Et… pic.twitter.com/4TKoLxLDJkAfter saying that AI is more dangerous than a nuclear bomb, after being taken for an omniscient God by the most pessimistic who loved to repeat that Hinton, the father of backpropagation, was shouting about the risk of AI… Now he changes his discourse. And
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OpenAI Warns AGI Could Make Money Obsolete
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« OpenAI avertit les investisseurs que l’AGI pourrait rendre l’argent obsolète, tout en levant des milliards de dollars », selon Business Insider. ça commence…
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AGI Timeline Debate: Continuous AI Advancement Beyond 2030
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The realistic alternative to "AGI by 2030" is not "AI goes away" but rather continued advancement in an industry with large-scale economic value (at least by early revenue numbers) and many smart people focused on figuring out new approaches that might work if old ones fail.
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Claude Capacity Constraints Meme Edvard Munch 1896
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"Due to unexpected capacity constraints Claude is unable to respond to your message"
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Hinton Warns AI Already Surpasses Humans, May Master Emotional Manipulation
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Geoffrey Hinton affirme que l’IA en sait déjà plus que les humains et devient de plus en plus intelligente.
— VISION IA (@vision_ia) 1 septembre 2025
Bientôt, elle pourrait aussi nous dépasser sur le plan émotionnel, en maîtrisant la manipulation simplement en lisant Internet.
« Elle a appris ces compétences uniquement… pic.twitter.com/mXyI1JjX9sGeoffrey Hinton affirme que l’IA en sait déjà plus que les humains et devient de plus en plus intelligente. Bientôt, elle pourrait aussi nous dépasser sur le plan émotionnel, en maîtrisant la manipulation simplement en lisant Internet. « Elle a appris ces compétences uniquement
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Skepticism on Near-Term AI Breakthroughs and Predictions
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La meilleure probabilité est que rien de tout ça ne va se passer dans les quelques années qui arrivent.
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Former OpenAI Researcher Says AI Could Enable $10K Monthly UBI
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A former OpenAI researcher claims that a universal basic income of $10,000 per month will be "feasible" thanks to the growth enabled by AI. Frankly, I'm often optimistic, but we shouldn't go overboard all the same