investors take way too much credit for successes and not nearly enough responsibility for failures, and this drives founders crazy to a degree that’s hard to explain
@sama
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AGI timeline safety: short timelines and slow takeoff analysis
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it is possible at some point he will deserve the nobel peace prize for this–I continue to think short timelines and slow takeoff is likely the safest quadrant of the short/long timelines and slow/fast takeoff matrix.
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Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Pivotal Role in AGI Acceleration
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eliezer has IMO done more to accelerate AGI than anyone else. certainly he got many of us interested in AGI, helped deepmind get funded at a time when AGI was extremely outside the overton window, was critical in the decision to start openai, etc.
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Understanding AI Impact Requires Embracing Uncertainty
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if you think that you understand the impact of AI, you do not understand, and have yet to be instructed further. if you know that you do not understand, then you truly understand. (-alan watts, sort of)
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San Francisco’s Role as AI Revolution Center Despite Government Challenges
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ready to call the tug-of-war between the gross negligence of SF government and the power of being the center of the AI revolution. SF remains super relevant for the next decade.
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Would AI prefer many small paperclips or one large paperclip?
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would an AI realistically want a lot of little paperclips, or one big paperclip? (reason for question to follow later)
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Why ‘Generative AI’ Is a Dumb Term
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"generative AI" is IMO a dumb term and i hope it doesn't stick ("genAI" is obviously even worse)
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Compute spending will vastly outpace data investment
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do you really think? im pretty sure we will outspend on compute by a _huge_ margin, and at least for companies like openai data spend will go down as models get smarter. curious if i am missing something!
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OpenAI Team Excellence and Deep Commitment to AI
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everyone on the openai team is exceptional and cares deeply. i am very grateful for all of their contributions.
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Neutral AI defaults and user preference alignment strategies
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we are working to improve the default settings to be more neutral, and also to empower users to get our systems to behave in accordance with their individual preferences within broad bounds. this is harder than it sounds and will take us some time to get right.