@gdb is obfuscating what ChatGPT to the @TED audience attributing intent and reasoning which is just not there. Bad Greg!
@rodneyabrooks
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Recent AI Hype Cycle Recognized as Overhyped, Not Transformative
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A rather recent AI hype cycle is pretty much agreed to have been that, rather than a transformation of society. https://
wsj.com/articles/cars-
self-driving-when-c6ae4fdc
… (you can read my analyses and predictions from 2017&2018 at http://
rodneybrooks.com/blog). -
Beyond Exponential Growth: Understanding LLMs and Neuro-Symbolic Grounding
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3/3 BUT many now think such exponential transformations are just God's will. They are not–even for LLMs&friends. New developments will require long hard new work to understand LLMs better, and add new mechanisms–open questions in neuro-symbolic grounding and what that means.
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LLM Limitations: Reality vs Hype and Unrealistic Expectations
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1/3 As companies hand tweak LLM based systems to cover published failures those who want to believe in a new super being get more and more sucked in. I use LLMs daily, but that are not atall what many people want them to be, nor what they assume will come just around the corner.
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Moore’s Law: Unprecedented Technological Transformation Unlikely to Repeat
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2/3 Moore's law was the most amazing technological transformation in human history with ~23 doublings in 50 years. We will never see anything close to that again as that was driven by very specific interactions between device physics and information "physics".
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Driverless Cruise vehicles spotted in SF neighborhood during daylight hours
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3 driverless Cruises in my SF neighborhood in the last 60 secs. Couldn’t tell if they had passengers. My app won’t let me call one till later tonight. Saw them driverless in daylight hours last week. Need to go on ride with them to see how they’ve improved in last 12 months.
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ChatGPT: A Powerful Tool, Not a Miracle Solution
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This is a really good explanation of and reminder about ChatGPT. The deep want of people (even my smart friends) to believe it is doing more is so disconcerting. There is no miracle. A new, rather tricky, tool, yes, but we're still going to have to get through life on our own.
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Yann Lecun and Historical AI Cybernetics Paper from 1991
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Yann @ylcun
, and here is a longer paper written in 1991 which places these arguments in the historical (up until then) context of AI and cybernetics. http://
people.csail.mit.edu/brooks/papers/
BrooksIJCAI91.pdf
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Rodney Brooks shares 1991 AI Journal paper on representation arguments
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Yann @ylecun
, here is an early version of many of these arguments (pre-deep learning). Four years in review (I didn't change a word…), published in AI Journal 1991. http://
people.csail.mit.edu/brooks/papers/
representation.pdf
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OpenAI’s Moving Target: Fixing Bad Examples in Published Interactions
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Open AI has people read interactions and fix the bad examples. Published ones are probably first to go. So it is a moving target. Wack-a-mole.