Very excited to announce my new book: The Coming Wave Today's AI is only the start. A wave of emerging technologies will help address global challenges & create vast wealth. But they will also create upheaval on a once unimaginable scale. http://
THE-COMING-WAVE.COM
@mustafasuleyman
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Mustafa Suleyman Announces New Book The Coming Wave
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AI and Crypto Are Fundamentally Different Technologies
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AI-Crypto comparisons are ridiculous… crypto was a technology with no real use cases… ai is a technology with almost every use case imaginable
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Turing Test Results: Bots Fooling Humans 40% of the Time
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turing test results: in 2m conversations, people speaking to a bot thought it was a human 40% of the time. impressive, but a long way to go https://
ai21.com/blog/human-or-
not-results
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AI Safety: Generality as Important as Scale for Control
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everyone’s become quite focused on scale from a safety perspective… calls for audits, licenses and so on. but really we should also focus on generality. single agents that can do a very wide range of tasks will be inherently more challenging to control
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AI Model Efficiency Growth and the Containment Challenge
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GPT-3-175B is almost 3 years old. Today a 3B model – 60x smaller – can achieve comparable performance. What happens if today's cutting edge models are on that trajectory? …they will proliferate far and wide… this is the containment problem in a nutshell
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Nvidia Reaches $1T as H100 GPUs Become Scarce Resource
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with nvidia hitting $1T world is now catching up to H100s being goldust… 2.5-3x FLOPs vs the previous gen. A100.
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AI adoption expected to follow internet growth trajectory but faster
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trying to get a better sense of what the coming wave of AI might look like… one perspective: in 1996, 36m people used the internet; in 2023 it is 5 billion. that’s the kind of trajectory we should expect for AI tools, only much, much faster.
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AI Cost Reduction and Scale: Imagining the Future Impact
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hard to imagine how radically different everything is gonna look in 10 years… what happens when these ai's are 10,000 cheaper / smaller?
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Collective Decision-Making on Technological Development Limits
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we can't just accept that if it can be developed, it will be. that leads us to a bad place. figuring out what 'we' (collectively) decide to say no to, and when, is the hard problem of the next decade