despite all the hype and excitement, people still aren’t grokking the full impact of the coming wave of ai. within the next ten years, most ‘cognitive manual labor’ is going to be carried out by ai systems.
@mustafasuleyman
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Mustafa Suleyman announces arrival of The Coming Wave proofs
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one step closer to the finish line! the uncorrected proofs of my new book – The Coming Wave – arrived today… preorder now 🙂 https://
the-coming-wave.com -
Mustafa Suleyman Affirms 95% Elimination Claim by June 2025
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I stand by my claim: 95% of the time means largely eliminated by June 2025. @GaryMarcus https://
x.com/mustafasuleymn
/status/1667557348443930625?s=20
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Contradictions in AI Surpassing Humans and Employment Impact
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@ylecun how can it be that you think there is "no question" that AI would surpass human intelligence, AND that you think "this is not going to put a lot of people out of work permanently"… why such certainty?
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AI’s Impact on Future Global Politics and Power Dynamics
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Good overview of what’s coming with AI and how it will bring about a very different kind of politics @ianbremmer https://
ted.com/talks/ian_brem
mer_the_next_global_superpower_isn_t_who_you_think/c
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Bet on AI Hallucinations Elimination by June 2025
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We’re agreeing now right? So you bet against my claim that by June 2025, hallucinations will be largely eliminated meaning that 95% of the time generations will be verifiably accurate… and therefore reliable and useful causing profound transformations
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AI transformation expected by June 2025, claims Suleyman
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That’s not what I said. Largely (95%) would be very transformative. And I’m confident that’s coming by June 2025.
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Proposing pre-agreed evaluation questions for betting
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We could also agree 10 eval questions to bet on up front if you prefer @GaryMarcus @goodside ?
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Mustafa Suleyman accepte un pari sur l’IA avec Gary Marcus
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happy to take this bet @GaryMarcus 🙂 how about we define "largely" as: 80% of the time the model produces a verifiably accurate response to a wide range of questions. and for "by 2025", let's take the middle of the year so June 2025. (if I'm right, I'll donate my proceeds)
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LLM Hallucinations to be Eliminated by 2025
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LLM hallucinations will be largely eliminated by 2025. that’s a huge deal. the implications are far more profound than the threat of the models getting things a bit wrong today.