I stand by my claim: 95% of the time means largely eliminated by June 2025. @GaryMarcus https://
x.com/mustafasuleymn
/status/1667557348443930625?s=20
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@mustafasuleyman
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Mustafa Suleyman Affirms 95% Elimination Claim by June 2025
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Contradictions in AI Surpassing Humans and Employment Impact
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@ylecun how can it be that you think there is "no question" that AI would surpass human intelligence, AND that you think "this is not going to put a lot of people out of work permanently"… why such certainty?
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AI’s Impact on Future Global Politics and Power Dynamics
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Good overview of what’s coming with AI and how it will bring about a very different kind of politics @ianbremmer https://
ted.com/talks/ian_brem
mer_the_next_global_superpower_isn_t_who_you_think/c
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Bet on AI Hallucinations Elimination by June 2025
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We’re agreeing now right? So you bet against my claim that by June 2025, hallucinations will be largely eliminated meaning that 95% of the time generations will be verifiably accurate… and therefore reliable and useful causing profound transformations
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AI transformation expected by June 2025, claims Suleyman
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That’s not what I said. Largely (95%) would be very transformative. And I’m confident that’s coming by June 2025.
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Proposing pre-agreed evaluation questions for betting
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We could also agree 10 eval questions to bet on up front if you prefer @GaryMarcus @goodside ?
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Mustafa Suleyman accepte un pari sur l’IA avec Gary Marcus
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happy to take this bet @GaryMarcus 🙂 how about we define "largely" as: 80% of the time the model produces a verifiably accurate response to a wide range of questions. and for "by 2025", let's take the middle of the year so June 2025. (if I'm right, I'll donate my proceeds)
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LLM Hallucinations to be Eliminated by 2025
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LLM hallucinations will be largely eliminated by 2025. that’s a huge deal. the implications are far more profound than the threat of the models getting things a bit wrong today.
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AI Development Requires Critical Reflection and Containment Strategies
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As the public conversation around AI has exploded, it's more important than ever for those of us driving development to critically reflect on what’s unfolding. I hope it’s useful. It intended to provoke debate and encourage everyone to develop new strategies for containment.
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Technology Proliferation and Societal Control: The Century’s Challenge
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These are ideas I've been thinking about for over a decade. This is my attempt to understand how and why technology naturally proliferates, and what society needs to do to remain in control. I argue that “containing” this coming wave is the defining challenge of the century.