without a symbol-manipulation component, i just don’t see it.
@garymarcus
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OpenAI Critic Seeks Short Selling Opportunity Against Company
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Contra @sama
, thisparticular loud critic of OpenAI would not buy OpenAI shares. But he sure would love a way to short them. -
AI Hype vs Reality: Beyond the Religious Narrative
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Posts like this never get 1 tenth of 1 percent of posts claiming the opposite. AI has become a religion. Reality is more complicated:
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Half Trillion Dollar AI Investment Losses: Critical Analysis
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my opinions could have saved the investment community over half a trillion dollars that so far have not produced a return.
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Societal costs of AI beyond misallocated capital
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see my talk last week at the Royal Society, introduced by Peter Gabriel. It’s not just the misallocated capital but a host of other costs to society.
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Building Influence Through Truth-Speaking on Tech Topics
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A moment of reflection on a long journey: Countless people have blocked or muted for speaking truths that were difficult to accept, often long before they were widely recognized. Yet I have still reached nearly 200,000 followers (and over 80,000 substack subscribers) speaking
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Elon Musk AGI Definition Bet Accountability Challenge
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Elon has given his own definition of AGI, and say there is a 10% chance of his next model can achieve it. (Reality? Near zero.) In effort to hold him accountable, I hereby offer $1,000,000 to charity on 10:1 odds to @Elonmusk – using his definitions — if he accepts the bet and
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Betting on Grok Next Release Terms and Conditions
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i would be happy to make a bet on those terms at the 10:1 that he mentioned for the next release of Grok. would he?
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Defining AGI: Elon Musk’s Achievement Timeline Challenge
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Dear folks saying “why don’t you define AGI first before challenging Elon to bet on whether he is about to achieve it?” I already have, twice: – in my 2022 Substack essay Dear Elon Musk ““a shorthand for any intelligence … that is flexible and general, with resourcefulness
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Generative AI’s Widespread Structural Limitations Essay
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of course they are (structured) representations. my recent relevant essay: https://
open.substack.com/pub/garymarcus
/p/generative-ais-crippling-and-widespread?r=8tdk6&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
…