the bubble is here right now and you can see it in the burn statements. aside from one quarter for Anthropic heavily subsidized by Elon Musk, at the height of tokenmaxxing, every quarter has been a loss, mostly huge losses. “the bubble” is the fact that the valuations don’t
@garymarcus
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Gary Marcus celebrates another win for neurosymbolic systems
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yet another win for neurosymbolic systems!
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New paper clarifies that competent AGI has not been achieved yet
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Hypesters sometimes pretend that AGI has already been achieved, but that’s not certainly true by traditional understandings of what that term means. A new paper from Google DeepMind, Waterloo, ANU and UCL makes clear that what the new paper calls “competent AGI” has NOT yet been
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LLMs unreliable; Trump’s impossible demands require curtailment
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For years I have been saying that LLMs are not reliable enough to be sound. That simple claim — which has never been refuted — is suddenly at the center of the universe. What Trump asks cannot be done. NO current system can completely resist circumvention. Either we curtail
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Gary Marcus: AI revenue depends on sustained tokenmaxing
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“If tokenmaxing is not sustained … then these [AI] companies are probably not going to make the revenue that they thought," – @garyMarcus
@CBCNews
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No moat when everyone builds the same thing, says Marcus
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Like I said in January 2024, with everybody building the same thing, there is no moat. That’s been catching to OpenAI ever since. The numbers don’t lie.
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OpenAI market share drops below 50% as Microsoft seeks alternatives
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and now OpenAI’s market share is down below 50% and *Microsoft* is publicly looking for cheaper alternatives.
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OpenAI and Anthropic may never be profitable, but investors don’t care
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Between high costs, Chinese competition and the death of tokenmaxxing, OpenAI and Anthropic may well never be profitable in a sustained way — but the good news for them is that investors obviously don’t care about any of that anymore!
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U.S. senators to review Tesla FSD safety record
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U.S. senators to review Tesla FSD safety record
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Gary Marcus criticizes White House AI regulation freak out
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For years, I have encouraged White House administrations to support moderate, sane AI regulation, including preflight checks to weigh costs and benefits. I still do. But a WH freak out like this is not at all what I had in mind.