To the extent that anecdotal "vibe shifts" matter – I speak to a lot of organizational leaders and the conversation has shifted recently from "does AI have value?" as they find it does, to the challenges of changing & managing organizations to capture that value & avoid pitfalls.
@emollick
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LLMs to Match Superforecasters by November 2026
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From the team tracking human forecasting abilities for years: Current models already beat most humans and “A linear extrapolation of state-of-the-art LLM forecasting performance suggests LLMs will match superforecasters in November 2026.”
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Researchers analyze worker perspectives on workplace changes
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And a different analysis where researchers asked workers themselves.
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Public Moral Acceptance of AI Replacing Human Work by Occupation
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Paper showing what human work the American public thinks is morally permissible to replace with AI. Surprisingly, people are already okay with AI doing 58% of occupations (if AI does it well/cheap). A floor of 12% of jobs (mostly caregiving) would be morally repugnant to replace
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AI Utility Beyond Chatbots: Labs Need New Interface Designs
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A lot of the utility of AI for professions other than coding are trapped in chatbots. The labs are willing to experiment with form, but so far all those forms look like this.
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AI Interfaces Beyond Code: Expanding to Creative Professions
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Command line & node-based interfaces are the default from the AI labs because so much AI work is focused on code But many professions besides programmers have their own process interfaces that would be amenable to AI: journeys and canvases and lab notebooks and war rooms and…
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AI-Generated Stories: Quality, Manipulation, and Human Comparison
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No robots involved! Based on the research comparing human-written stories to AI and conversations with other writers, I think that the AI can occasionally hit good or moving stories (though often manipulative in nature)
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Gemini Pro Tool Use Inconsistency Issues Reported
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Yup, tried a couple times – but Gemini Pro is really inconsistent in tool use.
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AI Irony: Missing the Point While Proving It
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"Claude, write a two paragraph story proving Ted Chiang's point." "Ah, but as an AI trying to write a good story, you ironically missed the point"
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ChatGPT Refuses Tasks Claude Readily Accepts: GPT-5 Comparison
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In a reversal, ChatGPT now refuses to do many things that Claude is happy to address. (Examples from both GPT-5 Pro and GPT-5 Thinking)