I wouldn’t assume that all of the research is going to LLMs.
@emollick
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OpenAI Revenue Surpasses $2B Annually Industry Investment Dynamics
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Again, all the time. If high upfront investment is needed, then you will see high investment up front The comparison doesn’t really make sense in any case. Most companies in the industry do not have products on the market. OpenAI is reporting a run rate of $2B+/year in revenue.
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Drug Development Returns Zero for Decade Investment Cycles
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In year 1? All the time. Drug development is 0% return on a molecule for a decade.
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LLM Development Timeline: Research Before Deployment Economics
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R typically comes before D. We have better insight in LLM timing than in most industries. It is over a year to go from startup to GPT-4 class model even with infinite money (Musk, Google). I don’t think that this tells us anything about whether we are in a bubble or a boom.
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Treating AI Chatbots Like People for Better Results
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Working with AI is already weird and is going to get weirder. Many forces are combining to make working with AI more like working with people, for better or for worse. In fact, you basically need to treat chatbots like people to get them to work well.
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Copyright’s Bizarre Outcomes: The Terrifying Egg Collection
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A good reminder that copyright is a construct, and its rules result in various bizarre outcomes, including the existence of the most terrifying egg collection on Earth.
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Prompt Optimization Techniques Dramatically Impact AI Performance
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Put the information you want the AI to comment into the prompt FIRST and only then ask the question. The performance differences you get from non-obvious differences in prompting approaches are quite large, but it is really hard to know what works well in advance.
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Output Token Limits: A Constraint for LLM Research Applications
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Yes! The limits on output tokens are actually a limiting factor in using LLMs for quantitive research, among other things.
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Treating AI Like a Person: Necessity and Risks
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To get AI to work well for you, you need to treat it like a person, even though it isn’t. I wrote about the necessity, and risks, of anthropomorphizing AI. https://
open.substack.com/pub/oneusefult
hing/p/on-the-necessity-of-a-sin?r=i5f7&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
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