If Llama 4 didn’t fail, if Microsoft had pulled Sydney after the Roose article, if New Sonnet hadn’t been so good, if Orion hadn’t been so meh, if the leadership change at OpenAI had happened, if a recession had hit in 2024, if ChatGPT-3.5 & GPT-4 hadn’t both been leaps etc etc
Counterfactual scenarios of AI development and failures
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