And, not to sound like a broken record, that is why it is important to start dealing with the implications of steadily improving AI ability as a base case, including building for good uses (in education, healthcare) and mitigating risks like job loss, misuse, and other dangers.
JOBS
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AI Impact on Young Worker Employment Levels Study
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Here's a fascinating new paper by @SeyedMH98 and @LichtingerGuy about AI and the workforce. They use different methods and data sources than @econ_b, @RuyuChen
, and I do in our "canaries" paper, but they also find falling levels of employment for young workers in the -
AI Making It Harder for Young Graduates to Find Jobs
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Young university graduates in particular, juniors, are the first to feel the change. They are the ones who are finding it increasingly difficult to enter the world of work due to AI.
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AI Slowing Junior Hiring in US Tech Fields
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The fact that junior hiring in AI intensive fields has slowed down somewhat in the US seems pretty solid. The evidence linking it to AI is not yet established, we have seen a couple solid attempts that suggest a connection, but it is really hard to tell for sure, given the data.
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Robots Set to Become Widespread Workforce Labor Soon
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Il ne faudra pas longtemps avant que les robots soient largement utilisés dans le monde du travail comme main-d’œuvre. pic.twitter.com/J6RnxRdpq1
— VISION IA (@vision_ia) 1 septembre 2025Il ne faudra pas longtemps avant que les robots soient largement utilisés dans le monde du travail comme main-d’œuvre.
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Former OpenAI Researcher Says AI Could Enable $10K Monthly UBI
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A former OpenAI researcher claims that a universal basic income of $10,000 per month will be "feasible" thanks to the growth enabled by AI. Frankly, I'm often optimistic, but we shouldn't go overboard all the same
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Generative AI Reduces Junior Hiring While Preserving Senior Roles
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A second paper also finds Generative AI is reducing the number of junior people hired (while not impacting senior roles). This one compares firms across industries who have hired for at least one AI project versus those that have not. Firms using AI were hiring fewer juniors
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AI Complements Experienced Workers Over Entry-Level Positions
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@joshgans has a thoughtful interpretation of our "six facts" about AI and the labor market: AI may be complementing certain workers (the more experienced ones in highly exposed occupations), leading some firms to hire more them relative to those just starting their careers. -
Technology Hiring Trends Post-COVID Recovery Analysis
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In section 4.6 we consider that "One possibility is that our results are explained by a general slowdown in technology hiring from 2022 to 2023 as firms recovered from the COVID-19
Pandemic." We do an analysis that excludes all computer occupations and get similar results.