AI represents a reset for many things.
@tunguz
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Team Size Productivity Politics Scaling Challenges
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Productivity grows sublinearly with the team size, but politics grows exponentially.
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Educational institutions must prioritize civilizing young minds
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I actually still think that one of the most important value propositions of any educational institution is civilizing young minds. It's unfortunate that that mission has been either completely neglected, or in worst cases turned upside down.
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Avoid Career Gatekeepers Who Delegate Below Their Grade
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Career tip: avoid people who try to “help” you by passing you over to someone else, usually well below their pay grade.
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World Problems Shape AI Research Direction and Focus
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A lot of time what you end up working on depends critically on what you think is wrong with the World and why.
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Predicting AI’s Future: Beyond Doom and Hype
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This is why, among other things, it is very hard for me to take either AI doomers or the AI hyperoptimists very seriously. Not least because how all this plays out will in large part depend on technological, economic, and political forces that are notoriously hard to predict.
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AI Reality Diverges from Science Fiction Predictions
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The AI reality *right now* is already vastly unlike most of the movies we made about it for the past 50-100 years. It’s very likely that the near and not so near future will be even more radically different from what our fabulists have been focusing on in SciFi.
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Models Overfitting: A Machine Learning Challenge
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I have a feeling that these models are overfitting.

