ambient agents are going to completely dominate the rest of 2025: 1. human deep work/focus requires at least 1-2 hrs uninterrupted 2. by EOY all nextgen models* will pass the 1-2hr autonomy METR barrier ∴ they will be used in completely different ways than the current
@swyx
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AI created this in 2 minutes, Reddit user shares
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https://
reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/comm
ents/1m88o08/ai_made_this_in_2minutes/
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CogSurf Cursor News Update July 25 2025
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28 https://
news.smol.ai/issues/25-07-2
4-cogsurf-cursor
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Chart Shows RL Results Are Not Impressive
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not a greaaaat chart to say "RL is really working" haha
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GPT5 and o3-mini Models Expected in Early August
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constant rumors of GPT5-reasoning, GPT5-mini and GPT5-nano coming in "early August" now. according to this @tomwarren piece, o3-mini-level open model launch also coming by next week.
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US AI Compute Market Financialization Through Spot and Forward Contracts
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buried in @sriramk
's America's AI Action Plan is endorsement that the US compute market will financialize with spot and forward contracts. this podcast explains why this is so necessary, not just for speculation one of the most consistent themes with @latentspacepod
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New AI Lab Head’s Contradictory Stance on Synthetic Data
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hmm i wonder which new head of a major ai lab is famous for publishing papers about how synthetic data is bad and i wonder if the lab is gmi
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Steganography Transmission Failure at 10-11K Examples Scale
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(agree but the caveat is "transmission fails -at the tested size- 10-11k examples". given that it works on same distribution, my null hypothesis would be to expect this to work for more deviant distributions with say 6-9 more OoMs of steganized data)
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DeepSeek’s $5.6M cost report and potential media manipulation tactics
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yes fair and there are many possible motivations, stated and unstated. i think one of the "tells" i picked up on was how deepseek reported the $5.6m number knowing exactly how trad media and linkedin dumbs would run with the story. the chance of psyop is not zero.
