but though i think EA is an incredibly flawed movement, i will say: as individuals, EAs are almost always exceptionally nice, well-meaning people. the movement has some very weird emergent behavior, but i'm happy to see the self-reflection and feel confident it'll emerge better.
@sama
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EA Tweetstorm: Effective Altruism and AI Ethics Debate
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i've been stopping myself from sending my EA tweetstorm for a week but idk how much more self-restraint i have
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AI Safety and Capability Are Not Orthogonal Vectors
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it's a dangerous myth that AI safety and AI capability are orthogonal vectors. also a myth that we can "avoid ruin" without careful iteration and contact with reality. things have not gone as our best experts have predicted, and that will continue to be the case.
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Society Takes Longer Than Expected to Adopt Powerful AI
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(this is a little bit different than 'slow takeoff'–i think it will just take society longer to figure out what to really do with very powerful than intuition suggests)
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AGI Development Timeline and Delayed Societal Impact
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prediction: agi gets built sooner that most people think, and takes much longer to "change everything" that most people imagine
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Mid-Stage Companies Distracted From Core Product Excellence
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biggest indicator of a mid company is spending tons of energy on things other than making their core product/service better
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OpenAI Emphasizes Safety as Core Pride and Track Record
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we do take safety extremely seriously, and it's what i'm most proud of openai for. i am sure we will make some very wrong decisions along the way, but i think our track record as a whole will really hold up.
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Turing Test Criticism: Rethinking AI Evaluation Standards
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very fair criticism! i meant it as a joke about how i think people are (correctly) realizing the turing test is a bad test. i regret the tweet, but i'll leave it up in the spirit of leaving my Ls.
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Important Life Advice for Technology Enthusiasts
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neither, just life advice i think is important